テーマバックテスト
これは検証用レポートであり、投資助言ではありません。代表ETFは簡易的な代理指標であり、テーマそのものの完全な収益性を表すものではありません。
検証テーマ数
27
30日比較可能件数
205
30日超過 上位テーマ
Software
30日超過 下位テーマ
Commodities
テーマ別バックテスト
| テーマ | 代表ETF | シグナル件数 | 有効7日 | 有効30日 | 有効60日 | 有効90日 | 平均7日 | 平均30日 | 平均60日 | 平均90日 | SPY超過7日 | SPY超過30日 | SPY超過60日 | SPY超過90日 | SPY勝率7日 | SPY勝率30日 | SPY勝率60日 | SPY勝率90日 | 最新シグナル日 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Software | IGV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +4.48% | +12.47% | +11.18% | +23.04% | +3.45% | +7.65% | +3.15% | +9.11% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2023-11-04 |
| AI Infrastructure | SMH | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +3.11% | +12.84% | +20.39% | +24.49% | +1.12% | +7.42% | +12.40% | +13.90% | 83.3% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2025-12-09 |
| Semiconductor | SMH | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4.69% | +10.08% | +19.84% | +32.17% | +2.19% | +4.78% | +11.34% | +18.30% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2025-04-21 |
| Industrial | XLI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +5.67% | +15.37% | +16.23% | +23.37% | -1.52% | +1.95% | +0.24% | +0.65% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 2025-04-21 |
| Banking | KBE | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3.53% | +4.43% | -0.76% | +3.89% | +2.69% | +1.85% | -4.37% | -4.49% | 66.7% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 2024-03-01 |
| Defense | ITA | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2.56% | +8.64% | +9.80% | +18.27% | -0.66% | +1.67% | +0.11% | +5.20% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Bubble | QQQ | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | +0.13% | +4.11% | +9.38% | +6.20% | -0.15% | +0.64% | +3.24% | +0.93% | 50.0% | 75.0% | 75.0% | 57.1% | 2026-03-22 |
| Financials | XLF | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +1.70% | +4.49% | +3.80% | +5.95% | +0.18% | +0.06% | -1.81% | -2.52% | 62.5% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 37.5% | 2025-12-09 |
| Risk On | QQQ | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | +0.58% | +3.34% | +4.86% | +6.46% | -0.11% | +0.06% | +0.84% | +0.44% | 47.8% | 43.5% | 43.5% | 54.5% | 2026-03-22 |
| Market Cycle | SPY | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | +1.12% | +3.30% | +4.68% | +6.78% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Earnings | SPY | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | +0.36% | +2.92% | +4.14% | +6.18% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2024-06-03 |
| Politics | SPY | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +2.95% | +4.52% | +9.37% | +12.55% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-21 |
| Regulation | SPY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +7.19% | +13.42% | +15.99% | +22.72% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | +0.00% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-21 |
| Individual Investors | IWM | 38 | 38 | 38 | 38 | 37 | +0.63% | +2.45% | +1.70% | +4.28% | -0.03% | -0.51% | -2.82% | -1.93% | 50.0% | 36.8% | 23.7% | 24.3% | 2026-03-22 |
| Healthcare | XLV | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2.89% | -0.95% | +2.12% | +1.55% | -0.14% | -0.54% | -0.95% | -5.72% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2024-04-06 |
| Consumer | XLY | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +3.00% | +2.81% | +6.96% | +8.50% | +1.65% | -1.63% | -0.33% | -0.38% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 2025-07-13 |
| Japan | EWJ | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | +0.02% | +1.74% | +0.87% | +1.59% | -1.18% | -2.26% | -5.48% | -5.04% | 22.2% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 16.7% | 2025-04-26 |
| China | FXI | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1.83% | +1.67% | +4.35% | +7.99% | -2.02% | -3.07% | -6.11% | -5.84% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Risk Off | TLT | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | -0.04% | +0.36% | +0.40% | +1.71% | -0.40% | -3.41% | -4.43% | -5.28% | 37.5% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 2026-03-22 |
| Bonds | TLT | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.81% | +0.12% | -3.21% | -0.58% | -1.05% | -3.44% | -4.29% | -7.49% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2024-02-17 |
| FX | UUP | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -0.37% | -0.10% | +1.26% | +0.42% | -2.09% | -3.57% | -4.54% | -6.17% | 16.7% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 2024-05-08 |
| Inflation | TIP | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.26% | -0.40% | -0.40% | -0.13% | -1.80% | -4.37% | -8.85% | -12.63% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Interest Rates | TLT | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1.60% | +0.54% | -0.21% | +1.57% | -0.84% | -4.57% | -7.26% | -9.48% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Cloud | SKYY | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.49% | -4.35% | -14.76% | -15.54% | -2.88% | -5.59% | -16.66% | -15.14% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-12-09 |
| Credit | HYG | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.13% | +1.30% | +2.71% | +3.63% | -2.17% | -6.01% | -7.83% | -12.37% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-26 |
| Energy | XLE | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1.12% | -0.45% | +2.17% | +0.62% | -1.10% | -6.95% | -7.37% | -14.37% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-21 |
| Commodities | DBC | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0.19% | +0.99% | +9.77% | +6.09% | -7.01% | -12.43% | -6.22% | -16.63% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2025-04-21 |